29 July 2008

The implosion continues (3)

According to the latest Gallup poll, McCain now leads Obama among "likely voters", 49%-45%. Just a month ago, he was behind Obama by 44%-50%.

Older voters, especially older women, are a more dominant force in the electorate than ever before. Now, refresh my memory -- older women were a core constituency of which candidate for the Democratic Presidential nomination? (Update: read this too.)

And the favorite for the coveted job of Obama's running mate is apparently Governor Timothy Kaine of Virginia, a man with no foreign-policy background, little experience, a thin record (sound familiar?), and a self-declared "faith-based" opposition to abortion.

Even the indefatigable Taylor Marsh is getting glum about Obama's prospects against McCain.

Can I say "I told you so" yet?

Oh, and there are now fewer than 100 days left until the election. That iceberg dead ahead isn't so far away any more; we're running out of time to change course.

5 Comments:

Blogger Prash said...

Is it official about Timothy Kaine ?

Many (non-Americans) tell me that Americans are not yet ready to vote for a Black President. But I always reply them, why is it have to do with his race or gender, don't you think people look at their programme and plans ? Everybody laughs at me...what say you ?

29 July, 2008 19:19  
Blogger Infidel753 said...

Is it official about Timothy Kaine?

No, it's not official. Under our system, Obama can choose whomever he wants, so until he makes an announcement himself, we won't really know. But there's evidence that Obama and his team are looking especially closely at Kaine. And it's likely that a decision will be made very soon. That tells us the odds are good that it will be him.

Many (non-Americans) tell me that Americans are not yet ready to vote for a Black President. But I always reply them, why is it have to do with his race or gender, don't you think people look at their programme and plans? Everybody laughs at me...what say you?

I think you're right. People who haven't been to the United States can't really know what it's like here. Yes, there are some people who would refuse to vote for a black President just because of his being black, but I really believe this is only a small minority. Black politicians have become governors of states and mayors of major cities, including places where almost all the voters are white.

I believe Obama will lose, but because of his "program and plans", not because of his race. Look at the opinion polls. In a couple of months they've gone from Obama being ahead of McCain by about 15% to, now, McCain being ahead of Obama by about 5%. Does that mean that 20% of the American people suddenly became racist? Or that 20% of the American people only just learned that Obama is black? Ridiculous. What's happening is that people are taking a closer look at his words and actions, and they do not like what they see.

A more centrist and more culturally-conventional black politician would probably be doing much better. I still think Colin Powell, for example, would be a very formidable candidate for President if he ever decided to run.

Thank you for visiting.

29 July, 2008 20:00  
Blogger Prash said...

Obama-Powell race...wow ! I never imagined...I am sure that Obama will have no stand in front of Powell.

I really hope the "undecided" will look closer into the programmes and plans of the both candidates before voting and not the image & the impression of these two candidates.

I like your analyzed views. I can't really talk about the American people, I hardly know them and their country.

The Americans I know cannot represent your country, of course !

PS: When I was living in Paris, every American I met there made it clear to me in few minutes that he/she didn't vote for Bush. I was like "I don't bother whom you vote". He/she says, "I know people outside USA, think every American voted for Bush"...and then I always retorted "But in a democracy, there is always an opposition. No opposition No Democracy...Yesterday it was Democrats, today it is Republicans, and tomorrow ? who knows! "

I

30 July, 2008 03:31  
Blogger Infidel753 said...

When I was living in Paris, every American I met there made it clear to me in few minutes that he/she didn't vote for Bush.

There's a tremendous range of opinion here about most things, but a large majority of people agree that Bush has been an embarrassment. He's the least popular President we've had for as long as I can remember.

30 July, 2008 03:37  
Anonymous Not Your Sweetie said...

@Prash
A lot of people didn't vote for Bush - it's why his both elections had to be arranged at the vote counting stage.
That being said, a lot of those people who opposed Bush every step of the way - from the stealing of his first election, are now opposing Obama. (I am one of them) In part, because he stole his presumption of nomination too - and is going for stealing the nomination (I bet you didn't even know he is not yet even his party nominee just yet)

01 August, 2008 10:24  

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