27 September 2012

Landslide? Fight even harder!

Even dwellers in the right-wing alternate-reality bubble are getting hard-pressed to deny it:  the polls are looking very good for our side these days.  The RCP average this morning shows Obama up 4% nationally, boosted by a Gallup tracker lead of 6%.  Recent data have him leading 52%-43% in Pennsylvania, 53%-43% in Ohio, 49%-45% in North Carolina, 52%-43% in Nevada, 52%-41% in Wisconsin, 48%-40% in Minnesota, 54%-42% in Michigan (and that's Rasmussen!), 51%-44% in Iowa, 50%-46% in Colorado, and 53%-44% in all-important Florida.  Our Senate candidates lead 52%-40% in Wisconsin, 49%-43% in Pennsylvania, 53%-39% in Florida, 48%-42% in Connecticut (yes, that one had been close earlier), 50%-40% in Ohio, 48%-44% in Nevada, 53%-37% in Michigan.  Massachusetts looks close, but in the end I can't see that state re-electing Brown.  The Republicans are getting so desperate they're even starting to rehabilitate Todd "legitimate rape" Akin.  An Obama popular-vote margin bigger than 2008's, 350 electoral votes, and an enlarged Senate majority suddenly seem like real possibilities.  Some even dream of re-taking the House, though that remains unlikely.

(Update:  We've even got a shot at a Senate seat in Indiana, thanks to teabagging nutjobs who primaried six-term veteran Lugar and replaced him with the fringier Mourdock.)

So does this mean we can relax?  Sorry, but this is no time to stop being on guard against complacency.  Even if you think victory is inevitable, the margin matters.

If a real landslide is in reach, we need to fight all the harder to make sure we get it.  Obama will still be President whether he gets 270 electoral votes or 350, 51% of the popular vote or 55% -- but in the latter cases he'll have a stronger hand to play in appealing to the public against Republican obstructionism.  A Senate majority that includes Elizabeth Warren will be give the party a different character than one that doesn't.  A badly-mauled Republican party is more likely to be weakened by internal recrimination and infighting than one that just barely lost.

This is a high-stakes election.  The stakes are theocracy vs. secularism, denialism vs. reality on global warming, Randian laissez-faire and an unregulated financial parasite class vs. a rational mixed economy, mythology vs. science in public schools, insurance-company death panels vs. a major step toward universal coverage, Bible-based bigotry vs. marriage equality, relentless attacks on abortion and even birth control vs. individual choice, cave-man foreign policy vs. informed diplomacy.  And don't forget Supreme Court appointments.

Slavery, votes for women, and interracial marriage were once genuinely controversial issues.  After thumping defeats, the reactionary side on each of those issues faded away and ceased to be part of the national conversation.  That's what real victory looks like.  If 2012 is a chance to administer another thumping defeat to the bad guys, let's do it.

7 Comments:

Anonymous Marc McKenzie said...

Spot-on post. Now is NOT the time to sit back and be complacent (and thankfully, the President and his team do not appear to be sitting on their hands).

And I'm sorry, but anyone who tells me to "sit it out and not vote" will get an earful from me. I'm not about to spit on the graves of those who paid with their lives to ensure my right to vote as a person of color.

How anyone can claim that Romney and Obama are the same is beyond me. I don't know how anyone can reach that conclusion when one looks at the hard facts (and not just at only Bradley Manning and/or drones).

27 September, 2012 06:35  
Blogger Shaw Kenawe said...

Excellent, Infidel.

No sitting out, no complacency. Work harder, give more.

Most of what I've been reading on the rightie blogs is mired in wishful thinking and denying reality.

It's their mother's milk.

27 September, 2012 07:50  
Blogger Leslie Parsley said...

Not only must we not be complacent, we also need to: 1) Make sure everyone we know has registered and help those who haven't; 2) Help people get to the polls; 3) Before leaving the voting booth, make sure our votes are accurately recorded.

27 September, 2012 09:20  
Blogger S.W. Anderson said...

"So does this mean we can relax? Sorry, but this is no time to stop being on guard against complacency. Even if you think victory is inevitable, the margin matters."

Absolutely right. I remember so well when it looked as though John Kerry was a lock to early retire The Worst President in U.S. History. The memory of the morning after still hurts.

As the above commenters say, we need to try all the harder, no matter what the polls indicate. We need to be alert for GOP-style voter fraud, fight against or overcome voter suppression and intimidation, watch out for rigged voting machines, etc. We need to encourage those who aren't to register and actually vote. We need to keep sending in some money to Dems, even if it's just a small amount. It won't hurt to say a prayer or keep a good thought for Obama and Dems running for Congress, either. As my Swedish grandmother used to say, "Every little help helps."

27 September, 2012 17:32  
Blogger BB-Idaho said...

"theocracy vs. secularism, denialism vs. reality on global warming, Randian laissez-faire and an unregulated financial parasite class vs. a rational mixed economy, mythology vs. science in public schools, insurance-company death panels vs. a major step toward universal coverage, Bible-based bigotry vs. marriage equality, relentless attacks on abortion and even birth control vs. individual choice, cave-man foreign policy vs. informed diplomacy." ...clearly, it should be far more than just a
landslide...

27 September, 2012 18:11  
Blogger Infidel753 said...

Thanks for all the comments -- I think we all get it.

28 September, 2012 04:44  
Blogger krissthesexyatheist said...

I keep reminding peeps about Florida, Gore and the won/lost election. Sure it looks like Barry is gonna win again, I hope so, but I still get scared that...you know. Awesome,

Kriss

28 September, 2012 17:39  

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