Sizing up the Republican demolition derby
Establishment (relatively sane)
Tea Party (deranged baggots)
Social Conservatives (religious loons)
Governors (fascists and bores)
That's 20 names. I don't think Trump or Palin will run, and I have my doubts about Fiorina and Bachmann (though party leaders won't be happy with the optics of an all-male field against Hillary), but we'll almost certainly have well over a dozen entrants, some of them as colorfully crazy as any of 2012's crowd. The odds are Romney gets the nomination again -- he's already well ahead in polls of Republicans, and he's got more gravitas than the rest of this motley crew combined -- but with Bush splitting the non-insane vote, and the "base" of foaming-at-the-mouth baggots and fundamentalist nutjobs more determined than ever not to let a "moderate" claim the prize again, the end result is far from assured, and getting there will be one hell of a trip. I mean, look at this list. Is there enough popcorn in the whole country?
Update: Well, shee-it, Romney's already turkeyed out on us, though he's left the door open just a crack (see comment 69 at the link and 42 here). This leaves Jeb Bush as the main establishment candidate -- and the main target for the utter-loon faction which is determined to prevent another moderate nominee. The demolition derby will now be a bit less intricate, but should still be quite a spectacle.