09 October 2012

Still fighting, still winning

Toldja it wouldn't last.  A spate of scary post-debate polls had the wingnuts exultant and some on the left, who ought to know better, in full-blown panic mode, with a few even going all ZOMG OBAMA LIKE TOTALLY SUCKED I HATE HIM GNARG GNARG, as if the President were superhuman and should never ever lose even one fight ever.  But now, perhaps aided by a guardedly-positive jobs report on Friday, there are already signs of Romney's debate bounce deflating.  Gallup and Rasmussen are showing movement back to Obama, and swing-state polls are mostly showing him ahead, even if the margins are still smaller than before.  Every Electoral College map I've seen (here's a good one) continued to show him with a sizable lead right through the alleged meltdown.

Gallup will show a shift against Obama today, but that's because they're switching their sample from registered voters to (their assessment of) likely voters, and LV samples are usually more Republican-leaning than RV samples.  It's a change in the pool being studied, not in the actual state of the race.  (Most other pollsters have already been using LV samples for some time).  As for that Pew poll showing Romney four points ahead, there are some substantial issues with its sample.

Our candidates are still ahead in most of the swing Senate races, including MassachusettsHeidi Heitkamp has even brought the North Dakota seat within reach.

Romney is still the same tone-deaf gaffe-prone arrogant kleptocrat he was a week ago.  He's still the man of the 47% speech, the smirk, the laundry list, Seamus the dog, etc., etc., etc.  His debate performance is material for a wealth of new ads.  His party is still a freak show.  And it's time to unleash the Klinton!

Last week was, as I said at the time, a useful antidote to complacency.  We don't have this thing in the bag.  It won't be in the bag until November 7.  But nobody ever won an election (or anything else) by panicking and giving up.  We win it by fighting for it.  What are you doing?

6 Comments:

Blogger LadyAtheist said...

Argh Indiana is a strong red in the middle of moderation in the Great Lakes. That's the hick fundamentalism that's rampant here. There are liberals in this state and we're motivated, though I see fewer Obama bumper stickers than I saw in 08

09 October, 2012 05:33  
Blogger Infidel753 said...

Curious -- I guess Indiana's the only state in the area that doesn't extend close enough to either Detroit or Chicago to be tied in economically with either.

Still, you can gloat quietly on November 7 while the hicks are lamenting that their God has forsaken them.

09 October, 2012 12:11  
Blogger Adam said...

it will be a close race, which scares me. There's too much at stake.

09 October, 2012 12:20  
Blogger Infidel753 said...

Adam: True, there's too much at stake. So -- left's do all we can to make it less close.

09 October, 2012 19:49  
Blogger S.W. Anderson said...

". . . some on the left, who ought to know better, in full-blown panic mode . . ." There's been a strong element of drama queen acting out since Obama's bad night. You're right to spoof and criticize it. This, too, shall pass.

I will admit to a wee bit of sympathy for the anxiety ridden, if only because Democrats have so often experienced defeat snatched from the jaws of victory. Plus, there's this persistent tendency of Democrats to expect the playground bully to stick to fighting by marquis of Queensbury rules. By definition, playground bullies don't do that. But Dems seem to be either slow to catch on or in perpetual denial on that point.

We do need to send in some money. Any of the Dems' Web sites will welcome contributions as small as $3, and sometimes they have a 1 percent supporter who incentivizes their fund-raising efforts by saying he/she will match every dollar they bring in during a certain time period. $3 seems paltry, but it's what many can afford. If 10 million of us kick in $3 bucks, you're looking at the money to buy some serious TV ads — unfortunately the only way to reach a whole bunch of people.

10 October, 2012 21:49  
Blogger Infidel753 said...

I've probably donated more money this election than all previous elections combined. And for those who can't spare the money but have some time, there are ways they can help too.

11 October, 2012 05:26  

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