10 February 2016


For months now Republicans have been doing so much whistling past the graveyard that I'm surprised the dead haven't complained.  Trump was a flash in the pan who would fade with time, they said.  His support would migrate to "real" candidates as February approached and people got serious, they said.  The polls were wrong, they said (a mantra recycled from 2012).  Trump's supporters were unmotivated or stupid or historically non-voters and wouldn't actually turn out, they said.  At worst, enough failing candidates would drop out to let the non-Trump vote consolidate behind one alternative, they said.

Today they're finally facing the stark horror of reality.  The polls were right.  The Trumpolines are real people, and they vote.  The party of Lincoln, Eisenhower, and Reagan is almost certainly about to nominate a fascist orangutan for the most powerful office on Earth.  And there's not a damn thing they can do about it.

It's that latter point that makes yesterday's Trumpstravaganza such a delicious spectacle.  There might have been light at the end of the wingnut tunnel if the results had at least crowned a single anti-Trump and pushed others to drop out.  But the disorderly clutter of candidates remains as dense as ever.

Great Wingnut Hope Marco Rubio could not, and will not, recover from being batted around like a piñata by Christie during the last debate.  He's doomed not only by the magnitude of his blunder but by the fact that its nature lends itself to mockery.  Epithets like "Rubot", and analogies to those dolls that play back a canned phrase when you pull their string, now abound on the net.  It's like the water-bottle thing but ten times worse.  He ended up in an embarrassing fifth place behind Jeb Bush, for crying out loud.  But he won't drop out.  He still has hope that this is just a setback and he'll recover.  He doesn't know he's a dead man walking.

As for Jeb!, his still-massive pile of funds, endorsements, and Bushian sense of entitlement are now bolstered by the hope of wresting the establishment-favorite spot back from Rubio.  He'll stay in, despite his toxic last name and cringe-inducing campaign style.

Why would Cruz quit?  He won Iowa and came third in a state demographically hostile to him, and there are fundie-rich states coming up which are much friendlier terrain.  Never mind his general lack of appeal to non-fundies and the fact that his own party's leaders loathe him.

Kasich might have been on the brink of giving up, but after yesterday's second-place finish, nothing will pry him out of the race.  He can, and will, claim that he should supplant both Jeb! and Rubio as the non-crazy alternative to Trump -- even though his image is far too moderate to survive the coming primaries in the South.

Christie is hinting he might drop out (a man with a mission?), but his level of support is so low that this would do little to consolidate the non-Trump vote.

And serene above the strife, in wingnut Nirvana, floats the vindicated Trump -- insults and all.  He now faces a succession of states where he holds poll leads comparable to what he had in New Hampshire, with the forces opposing him in worse disarray than ever.  He'll win primary after primary while the midgets squabbling around his feet tear each other to pieces.

By your fruits we shall know ye, O Republicans.  For years you've cultivated a base mentality of prejudice, paranoia, and panic, and here is the result.  Trump knows far better than you how to operate the clown car you've made of your party, and he's jumped in the driver's seat and sped off on a joyride in the damn thing, horn blaring and gears grinding and on the wrong side of the road, and that's the last you're going to see of it until he totals it out sometime between now and November.


Blogger Ahab said...

Your last paragraph was spot-on, as much as it saddens me. The next nine months will be ... interesting.

Tell me more about what you mean by Jeb Bush's "cringe-inducing campaign style". Do you mean his lack of charisma? His temperament?

10 February, 2016 07:07  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Great Wingnut Hope Marco Rubio could not, and will not, recover from being batted around like a piñata by Christie during the last debate."
Rubio is still going, that's more than Christie can say.
Call them all the names in the book, but this country is still more center right and a president Trump is a real, possible conclusion.

10 February, 2016 08:59  
Blogger Infidel753 said...

Ahab: About Jeb, I'm thinking of this kind of thing (MPS has more examples), "please clap", etc.

Anon: If Rubio's campaign were any more moribund, only Haley Joel Osment would be able to see it.

this country is still more center right

Not any more. Polls show clear majorities supporting gay marriage, marijuana legalization, redistribution of wealth, etc. On Trump's signature issue, illegal aliens, a clear majority of Republicans favors legalization. It's a center-left country now.

10 February, 2016 18:10  
Blogger Shaw Kenawe said...

Anon: "Call them all the names in the book, but this country is still more center right..."

This Anonymous, or someone who used the same language, came to my blog to assert that this is a center right country. I replied to that Anon the same as you (and supplied evidence), but that only enraged him/her and he/she resorted to the usual troll behavior.

This country most certainly is center LEFT -- for all the reasons you cited.

The Gooper base is ga-ga over a guy who's been all over the map on core issues that are crucial to the wingers. He's flip-flopped on these core issues, not the way a thoughtful pol would change his mind, but the way a opportunistic panderer would.

The Goopers are getting what they deserve in this revolting tee-vee celebrity candidate who has no depth of knowledge on any critical issue.

11 February, 2016 06:45  
Blogger Paul W said...

Rubio's great sin is that he's an empty suit: he's campaigned on an IMAGE of leadership but has never really put in the work or built up a resume. I think the last time he did anything of actual importance was in the Florida Legislature. THAT WAS SIX YEARS AGO.

He so obviously relies on talking points and scripts that he can't function independently of what he's been told to say. For all the fake insults Republicans throw at Obama for relying on Teleprompters, i'm getting the impression Rubio truly can't operate without one.

11 February, 2016 16:27  
Blogger Green Eagle said...

I don't even think that the country is center left. The Republicans have so succeeded in demonizing the word "liberal" that people don't admit to being that, but when questioned on the issues, an overwhelming majority agree with Bernie Sanders. That is not center left, it is left.

14 February, 2016 00:08  
Blogger talis said...

Kasich is anything but moderate. He is a fascist FreeDumb market loving theocrat. Do not be fooled.

14 February, 2016 00:50  

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